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OUR EVIDENCE
ELECTION 2004: Here's What We know
Rove Delighted With Diebold
  • We know Kerry led the pre-election state polls.
    We know Kerry led the pre-election national polls.
  • We know Kerry led the post-election state exit polls, 51-48%. We know Kerry led the post-election national exit poll, 51-48%
  • We know documented voting machine “glitches” favored Bush 99% of the time.
  • We know the media and E-M will not release detailed raw precinct data.
  • We know Blackwell refused to testify before Conyers. We know Mitofsky refused to testify before Conyers.
  • We know that there were over 21 million new voters. We know Kerry won the vast majority (57-62%) of new voters.
  • We know there were 3 million former Nader voters. We know Kerry won Nader voters by 71%-21% over Bush.
  • We know Kerry, like Gore, won the female vote 54/46% up until the final 660 exit-poll respondents. We know it was changed to 51% in the 13,660 Final exit-poll numbers.
  • We know that the National Exit Poll Margin of Error is under 1% (because we checked the NEP margin of error table). We know that Kerry won the National Poll by over 3%, 51-48%. We know the odds are astronomical that the actual deviation was triple the margin of error.
  • We know that 42 of 50 states deviated from the exit polls in Bush's favor. We know that includes ALL 22 states in the Eastern Time Zone.
  • We know that 16 states deviated beyond the exit poll margin of error in Bush's favor, and none deviated past the margin of error for Kerry.
  • We know that touch screen voting machines became widely used in 2004.
  • We know that Republicans fought against paper ballots for Diebold and ESS touch screens.
  • We know that ALL Diebold ATMs provide a paper receipt yet NONE of their voting machines provide paper ballots.
  • We know that the deviation trend from the exit polls to the vote was approaching ZERO until 2000, when there was a dramatic reversal (remember how the results were always announced before the election was over, and the poll results were always right?).
  • We know that Kerry won the Ohio Exit Poll, by at least 51-48%.
THEIR EVIDENCE
  • They claim it was something we don't know, and we don't know what it is that we don't know (If you ignore what we know above), and there's nothing to see here so we should just move along.
  • They claim that maybe Bush voters were reluctant to speak to exit pollsters. (hypothesis only)
Hold on a second...
  • We know that many Republican voters deserted Bush for Kerry.
  • We know there were hardly any Gore Democrats who voted for Bush.
WHAT DOES THE EVIDENCE TELL YOU?
Simple as that — What does the evidence tell you?

(This little gem was written by TruthIsAll on Democratic Underground. Since links are hard to maintain on message boards, the article has been given a permanent home here. [with a nod to all at DU who helped compile it and my apologies for the edits which were made to shorten and focus the work a little.])
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